Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LINK prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-10-13 0.003326 0.003714 0.004118 0.004570 0.005060 0.005576 0.006157
2024-10-20 0.002638 0.003170 0.003756 0.004446 0.005234 0.006101 0.007125
2024-10-27 0.002258 0.002864 0.003561 0.004412 0.005418 0.006562 0.007953
2024-11-03 0.001951 0.002596 0.003364 0.004334 0.005514 0.006891 0.008606
2024-11-10 0.001736 0.002412 0.003241 0.004318 0.005661 0.007265 0.009304
2024-11-17 0.001547 0.002238 0.003112 0.004275 0.005760 0.007569 0.009912
2024-11-24 0.001441 0.002160 0.003093 0.004363 0.006016 0.008063 0.010756
2024-12-01 0.001278 0.001990 0.002940 0.004263 0.006021 0.008237 0.011197
2024-12-08 0.001167 0.001883 0.002861 0.004252 0.006134 0.008543 0.011805
2024-12-15 0.001128 0.001872 0.002910 0.004412 0.006474 0.009146 0.012803
2024-12-22 0.001060 0.001814 0.002889 0.004471 0.006677 0.009571 0.013576
2024-12-29 0.001017 0.001790 0.002912 0.004590 0.006961 0.010107 0.014502
2025-01-05 0.000975 0.001766 0.002938 0.004719 0.007269 0.010691 0.015519
2025-01-12 0.000866 0.001629 0.002789 0.004589 0.007211 0.010780 0.015877
2025-01-19 0.000792 0.001543 0.002710 0.004555 0.007283 0.011043 0.016469
2025-01-26 0.000715 0.001444 0.002604 0.004474 0.007283 0.011203 0.016921
2025-02-02 0.000660 0.001377 0.002544 0.004458 0.007372 0.011487 0.017545
2025-02-09 0.000603 0.001303 0.002469 0.004414 0.007418 0.011706 0.018081
2025-02-16 0.000578 0.001283 0.002480 0.004504 0.007664 0.012216 0.019031
2025-02-23 0.000519 0.001196 0.002373 0.004401 0.007615 0.012296 0.019373
2025-03-02 0.000481 0.001146 0.002325 0.004390 0.007702 0.012575 0.020001
2025-03-09 0.000475 0.001157 0.002384 0.004555 0.008066 0.013264 0.021229
2025-03-16 0.000453 0.001134 0.002381 0.004615 0.008267 0.013716 0.022120